Time Series and Trend Analysis Challenge Inspired by Real World Datasets
AI Summary: The article presents an analysis of inflation expectations using three time series methods: moving averages, year-over-year changes, and Bollinger Bands, applied to the 5-year inflation data trend from October 2020 to October 2025. The analysis focuses on the 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (T10YIE), which reflects market expectations for inflation over the next decade. Each method provides distinct insights: moving averages reveal trend direction, year-over-year changes indicate momentum shifts, and Bollinger Bands highlight periods of extreme movement. The dataset consists of 1,305 daily observations sourced from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED).