How I Built a Multi-Agent System for Interrupted Time Series Analysis (ITSA)
AI Summary: A company's decision to launch a new checkout process was made without a properly designed A/B test, and later stakeholders asked about its effectiveness. Interrupted Time Series Analysis (ITSA) is a method that can be used to estimate the effect of an intervention when a randomized control trial is not possible. ITSA addresses limitations of pre-post comparisons by accounting for pre-existing trends, seasonality, and autocorrelation. A multi-agent system was developed to implement ITSA, which provides a more accurate estimate of the intervention's effect by comparing observed outcomes to a counterfactual projection.